๐ Will A.I. Be Able to Meet Just Below Human Performance In Being Able to "Track Changes in State," By the End of 2024?
Basic
4
แน28Jan 1
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the 2024 version of https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-ai-be-able-to-meet-just-below
I reserve the right to switch up the metric if there is a more updated version. I aim to get the final qualifications for this done by end of January 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
๐ Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2024?
43% chance
๐ Will A.I. Achieve Significantly More, "Linguistic Temporal Understanding" by end of 2024?
51% chance
๐ Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" by end of 2024?
30% chance
๐ Will A.I. Be Able to, "Feel and React to Pain," Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
33% chance
๐ Will A.I. Get Significantly Better At, "Community Based Ethical Judgements," by the End of 2024?
37% chance
๐ Will AI Achieve Significantly More, "Embodiment" by end of 2024?
20% chance
๐ Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher than Human Level Reasoning Through Common Sense Questions, By 2024 End?
37% chance
๐ Will AI Be Able to Understand the, "Meaning" of Questions Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
46% chance
๐ Will AI Be Able to Gain a Much Broader Academic and Professional Understanding by the End of 2024?
43% chance
๐ Will A.I., "Hallucinate Significantly Less," by the End of 2024?
16% chance