Will Mike Johnson have a full term as Speaker of the House before another Republican becomes Speaker?
Basic
4
Ṁ782031
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if:
Mike Johnson spends one full term as Speaker of the House. This doesn't mean being Speaker for two years without gaps - it means being speaker for one full session of Congress. Specifically, he must be elected Speaker at the beginning of the Congressional session (in January of an odd-numbered year) and remain Speaker until the next Congress is inaugurated.
Resolves NO if:
Mike Johnson dies, or a different Republican becomes Speaker of the House.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Mike Johnson resign or be removed as speaker of the house?
Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
If Republicans lose the House in 2024, will Mike Johnson become Minority Leader?
49% chance
Will Mike Johnson serve as Speaker of the House until the end of the term?
91% chance
Will the next Republican Speaker of the House (after Mike Johnson) be a white male?
79% chance
Will the U.S. government experience a shutdown while the current speaker of the house (Mike Johnson) is in the position?
30% chance
Will Mike Johnson be Speaker of the House for the rest of the 118th Congress?
90% chance
Will Mike Johnson be the Speaker or Minority Leader in the 119th Congress?
87% chance
Will Mike Johnson be the last speaker of the 118th Congress?
90% chance
[ACX 2024] Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?
98% chance