Background

Tesla's stock price has been a subject of significant debate among analysts and investors. Current analyst predictions for 2025 vary widely, with estimates ranging from $24.86 to $400, averaging around $232-245. Some investment firms like Ark Invest have made notably bullish predictions, while others maintain more conservative outlooks.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if Tesla's stock (TSLA) reaches or exceeds $500.00 at any point during calendar year 2025 (January 1, 2025 - December 31, 2025), based on official NASDAQ trading data. The price must be reached during regular trading hours (not pre-market or after-hours trading).

This market will resolve NO if Tesla's stock price remains below $500.00 throughout all of 2025.

Considerations

• Tesla's stock price could be affected by various factors including:

  • Production and delivery numbers

  • New vehicle launches

  • Advancements in autonomous driving technology

  • Competition in the EV market

  • Overall market conditions

  • Potential stock splits (if a stock split occurs, the $500 target will be adjusted accordingly)

• If Tesla is acquired or delisted before or during 2025, this market will resolve NO if the stock did not reach $500 prior to the delisting