Will Elon Musk pay out the $100 as promised for the America PAC petition?
Plus
17
Ṁ1377Jan 1
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Elon Musk, by Dec 31, 2024 (11:59PM AoE), pays out the $47/$100 (depending on when they signed up) as promised to every single person who signed the petition, as well as those who referred the petition.
Any deviation (e.g. announcement that it was $100 when they agreed to sign up, but then they obtained $47 because of a change of policy afterward) resolves to a NO.
A ruling that Musk's petition is illegal and therefore payouts cannot be given resolves to a NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump repay Elon Musk's backing in good faith?
83% chance
With the lawyers that sued Tesla to block Elon Musk's pay receive at least $1 billion?
23% chance
Will Elon Musk donate at least $100 million to a Republican-aligned PAC or campaign in 2024?
79% chance
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
61% chance
Will Elon Musk force every user of X to follow him by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Elon Musk’s Tesla pay package ruling survive appeal?
35% chance
Will Elon Musk or representatives publicly argue that their voter incentives are legal under U.S. sweepstakes laws?
65% chance
Will Musk win his current (second) case against OpenAI or receive more than $100mn in settlement?
22% chance
Will Musk get 25% Tesla's votes by January 2025 end?
9% chance
Will the Elon Musk vs Mark Zuckeberg PayPerView event bring in over 1 Billion dollars?
12% chance