How will Joe Biden die before age 100?
Basic
4
Ṁ11062042
3%
Still alive on November 20, 2042
7%
Any homicidal injury that causes death within one year
15%
Any accidental injury that causes death within one year
1%
Suicide
74%
Any other cause of death (e.g. any natural cause)
Will resolve according to my interpretation of a consensus of credible reporting. Feel free to ask for clarification on how I would resolve a certain scenario. If resolution seems likely to be controversial, I will seek input from the community before resolving.
Close date is provisional and may be resolved early if Biden dies, or extended if the correct resolution is unclear by market close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
43% chance
When will Joe Biden die?
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
56% chance
Biden to die before 2028 ?
34% chance
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
39% chance
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
70% chance
Will Joe Biden still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
55% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030?
53% chance
Will Biden die before end of hypothetical 2nd term?
35% chance
Will Biden die before Trump
69% chance