In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
15
1kṀ8702028
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
EG give it a good movie script, and it generates a movie more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as long as it's pretty good.
Script question:
/SamuelKnoche/in-early-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-2x8ud6ld4f
The intention of this question is to tease out what difficulties people expect for this question to resolve Yes:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
36% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
75% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
71% chance
At the beginning of 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
2% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
68% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
55% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
32% chance
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
19% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
14% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
75% chance