We wait until their finances for 2024 are officially published (presumably in 2025). This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
Resolves "Yes" if legally-required filings show net income was positive for OpenAI during 2024.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?
24% chance
Will OpenAI have a valuation (either public or based on a private raise) above $100B by the end of 2024?
47% chance
Will OpenAI reach an annualized revenue of 5 Billion $$$s by the end of 2024?
79% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
70% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
77% chance
What will be the first year OpenAI makes a net profit?
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
46% chance
Will OpenAI reach $5B ARR by the end of 2024?
51% chance
Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?
Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?
31% chance