Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Unemployment rate stays above 3%
18
Ṁ2213Jan 1
97%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 80% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold Time Capsule: Unemployment rate stays below 4%
47% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold Time Capsule: Unemployment rate stays above 3%
84% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)
78% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation above 2%
83% chance
The U.S. unemployment rate will surpass 4.5% in 2024.
73% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Immigration/border/asylum legislation passes
24% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Supreme Court vacancy
84% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold: Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
42% chance
2024 predictions - Matthew Yglesias vs Manifold: No recession in 2024
70% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation below 3%
89% chance