How high will the US tariff rate get in 2025?
4
1kṀ555Dec 31
12%
0 - 4.9%
20%
5 - 9.9%
22%
10 - 14.9%
21%
15 - 19.9%
15%
20 - 24.9%
9%
25%+
See: /RichardHanania/trump-impose-large-tariffs-in-first
This market resolves to bucket that contains the value of the US weighted average tariff rate in the highest quarter of 2025. It resolves based on FRED data, as soon as Q4 2025 is available: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
14% chance
Will the US impose 200%+ tariffs on european alcohol imports by the end of April 2025?
7% chance
What will be the effective US tariff rate for Chinese imports in the second half of 2025?
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
95% chance
What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026?
15.2
What will be the highest effective US tariff rate on China by EOY 2025?
Number of countries imposing tariffs in response to U.S. measures by June 30, 2025
41.2
US tariff rate on Chinese goods at end of 2025?
42.8
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2025?
11.3
Will Trump lower tariffs for China by the end of July 2025?
90% chance