Will we think PCPOSOS (Successor of LK-99) was a major achievement towards superconductivity and not a fraud?
Basic
2
Ṁ1852028
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Recently, SCTL got full levitation of PCPOSOS
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cjNouFqUHs
By EOY 2027:
If many replicates show the truthfulness of PCPOSOS was truly inspirational to achieve room-temperature superconductivity, resolve YES
A wide recognition of LK-99 will also lead to this market resolve YES
If many trustworthy agencies showed that it is a fraud, resolve NO.
If none of the above two events happens at EOY 2027, resolve NO (not NA)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
1% chance
If LK-99 is confirmed to be a superconductor, will it produce more than 100 million USD by 2025?
21% chance
Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
33% chance
If LK-99 conducts electricity with (nearly) zero resistivity, will it be a type II superconductor?
54% chance
Nobel Prize by 2026 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?
66% chance
[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
95
Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?
1% chance
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room temp superconductivity in LK-99?
2% chance
By 2026 will the new super conductivity type be disproven?
48% chance
Nobel Prize by 2035 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?
81% chance