Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030?
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The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) will have a large effect on the water politics in the region.
This question will resolve yes in the case of a successful attack that causes at least $1,000,000 USD worth of damages, or in the case of a thwarted/repelled imminent attack that intended to and reasonably could have caused this amount of damage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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