Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
Plus
12
Ṁ4212038
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky is the recipient of a Turing Award before the year 2038.
Resolves NO if 2038 begins and Eliezer Yudkowsky has not yet been the recipient of a Turing Award.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
61% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
32% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
10% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
49% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
21% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?
5% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have at least 200,000 followers on Twitter by the end of 2024?
12% chance