Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
Plus
12
Ṁ3432035
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
75% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
47% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
29% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
49% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will a publisher release a novel advertised as being AI-generated in the style of very popular dead author, b4 EOY 2024?
40% chance
Which novels will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2025
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
23% chance
Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?
68% chance