Will GPT-5 get the Monty Fall problem correct?
Plus
16
Ṁ11462025
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Same resolution conditions as the GPT-4 version: https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-gpt4-get-the-monty-fall-proble?referrer=MatthewBarnett
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
2% chance
Will GPT-5 get the Monty *Fall* problem correct?
77% chance
What will be true about GPT-5?
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
46% chance
What will be true about GPT-5? (See description)
Will GPT-5 resolve this market?
67% chance
Will GPT-5 be GPT-5o?
90% chance
Will GPT-4.5 resolve this market?
38% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
35% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Nov 2025?
60% chance