Will the first rocket launch from the UK's Sutherland spaceport be successful?
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sutherland_spaceport
The first launch is expected to be from Orbex, according to the UK Space Agency's corporate plan here (p19, by their numbering).
Success = success reaching adequate target orbit/trajectory
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another market about if they complete the spaceport and launch a rocket at all (with or without success)
https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-the-united-kingdom-complete-th
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