Will the first rocket launch from the UK's Sutherland spaceport be successful?
Basic
8
Ṁ149
2025
59%
chance

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sutherland_spaceport

The first launch is expected to be from Orbex, according to the UK Space Agency's corporate plan here (p19, by their numbering).

Success = success reaching adequate target orbit/trajectory

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another market about if they complete the spaceport and launch a rocket at all (with or without success)

https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-the-united-kingdom-complete-th

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