Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 202
Basic
1
Ṁ52026
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question resolves as Yes if the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November 2025 is lower than it was in November 2024, as reported by the St. Louis Fed at the following location:
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average (CPIAUCSL)
If the 12-month percentage change in the CPI in November 2025 is greater than or equal to where it was in November 2024, this question resolves as No.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the validity of the Consumer Price Index as a measure of inflation be widely questioned during 2025? #Economics
44% chance
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
44% chance
Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?
48% chance
Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?
53% chance
Will the 12-month inflation rate announced in January 2026 be lower or equal than 3.0%
43% chance
Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?
50% chance
Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2025 than over 2024?
33% chance
What will be the US rate of inflation between December 2022 and December 2023?
3.5
Will the United States' inflation rate be above 3% in 2023, 2024, and 2025?
3% chance