Do you think we will get reliable evidence in 2024, of some nation state having used LLMs to generate propaganda? | Manifold

Do you think we will get reliable evidence in 2024, of some nation state having used LLMs to generate propaganda?

31

Dec 31

Yes

No

Results

i.e. actual propaganda that the public was exposed to.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

When will we find out about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages, what quarter of what year?

Will there be a clear way to integrate LLMs with ads by the end of 2024?

Will there exist a compelling demonstration of deceptive alignment by 2026?

Will anyone be indicted for using an LLM to interfere in the 2024 election?

Will there be an accusation of a large language model being used for disinformation during the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will any major news outlet discredit an election's results due to use of LLMs in 2024?

Will 2024 see a major, viral, malicious AI-generated disinformation case, either in the US or globally?

Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?

Will either of Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2024 elections?

Will there be evidence by the end of 2024 of AI having a significant impact on the outcome of any political election?

Related questions

When will we find out about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages, what quarter of what year?

Will any major news outlet discredit an election's results due to use of LLMs in 2024?

Will there be a clear way to integrate LLMs with ads by the end of 2024?

Will 2024 see a major, viral, malicious AI-generated disinformation case, either in the US or globally?

Will there exist a compelling demonstration of deceptive alignment by 2026?

Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?

Will anyone be indicted for using an LLM to interfere in the 2024 election?

Will either of Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2024 elections?

Will there be an accusation of a large language model being used for disinformation during the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will there be evidence by the end of 2024 of AI having a significant impact on the outcome of any political election?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules