In April 2025 will my "Circle" think the School of Moral Ambition (started by R. Bregman) is a success?
Basic
7
Ṁ135
2025
55%
chance

A Circle is a group that consists of people going through the material created by the School of Moral Ambition. This group consists of a few people that are striving to be effective altruists, it will resolve on the basis of a poll I will post in our WhatsApp group.

We will use the following criteria for this, but in the end it is a subjective decision:

  • Does it still exist?

  • There was no widespread, lasting backlash against the ideas they are promoting? Or some other thing making it potentially net negative?

  • Have a lot of people really switched careers?

  • Do people still talk about it?

  • Was this the best use of time for the organizers?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules