Will an EU country mass-expel Muslims by 2050?

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For the question to resolve yes, the number of Muslims resident in an EU country must decrease by at least 25% as a result of systematic and hostile efforts by the government or some other group.

Any country that has ever been a member of the EU (so the UK as well), or is admitted in the future, counts, even it later leaves or the EU is dissolved.

Question inspired by https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expulsion_of_the_Moriscos

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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For that to happen, among other things, the European Court of Human Rights would need to be disrespected, and that is not even an EU Institution.

I don't think our institutions are that weak. I expect EU countries to become more pro-immigration overall, because of demographic pressures.

I do not wish for it whatsoever but i'm almost certain it will happen. Many eastern bloc countries as well as Scandinavia are moving towards a scary extent of nationalist/religious populism

predicts NO

How would that happen? I don’t think even Hungary is approaching that level of cruelty and bigotry.

@NicoDelon 27 years is a lot of time. Go back 3x that and there is Hitler.

@lukres Right, three times that, before the European Union existed and before decolonization.

@NicoDelon I mean, there was a genocide of Muslims in a now EU-candidate country 28 years ago. The current conditions appear somewhat stable across the continent, but human nature being what it is, anything can happen. The monkey just needs a grievance and an outgroup.

predicts NO

@lukres But that’s the thing. If such a country is then admitted they have huge incentives not to that which would most likely cause them to be expelled from the union. I’m not saying it can’t happen. Just skeptical of the pathways.

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