Will more than 200,000 US truck drivers lose their jobs by 2028?
Plus
23
Ṁ14142028
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which publishes its statistics every May, there were 1,984,180 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers in May 2022, over 1% of the US labor force. The number of truck drivers has been growing steadily since 2020, and the BLS predicts it to grow by 90,000 from 2021 to 2031.
But autonomous vehicles have the potential to disrupt this. Will the number of people employed as truck drivers in May 2028 be at least 200,000 lower than in May 2023?
See also:
/ahalekelly/will-autonomous-trucks-be-widesprea
/ahalekelly/will-more-than-200000-us-truck-driv
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will more than 200,000 US truck drivers lose their jobs by 2026?
14% chance
Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?
15% chance
Will the trucking industry be automated by end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Tesla deliver more than 50000 Cybertrucks in 2024?
33% chance
Will jobless claims go above 300,000 before 2025?
50% chance
Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?
53% chance
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?
29% chance
Will the U.S. be at full employment in December 2024?
45% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
19% chance
Will we see AI take over at least 100,000 jobs by 2027?
75% chance