Do you think Zelenskiy (the Ukrainian president) will lose power in 2024?
5%
chance

A couple of months ago Zaluzhni and Klichko (mayor of Kiev) gave several interviews to the Western media, presenting Zelenskiy in an unfavourable light.

It is my opinion that right now there is a serious split in the Ukrainian elites.

Formally speaking, the term of both Zelenskiy and the Parliament (the majority of which is controlled by Zelenskiy's party) ends in late May and August 2024 respectively. The elections have been postponed indefinetely due to the martial law.

Legally, the only thing that would keep them in power is the martial law that has to be renewed also in May and August 2024.

The opposition may claim that after May and/or August 2024 Zelenskiy and his party will have lost any legitimacy and that they will have turned from legal rulers to illegal usurpers.

So, the question is: do you think Zelenskiy will lose in 2024 his position as the president of Ukraine?

The question will resolve YES if any of the following happens during 2024:

- Zelenskiy resigns voluntarily

- Zelensy is deposed following military coup, revolution, mass riots or a combination of those

- Zelenskiy looses his position after loosing presidential elections, if the elections take place in 2024

The question will resolve NO if, by the beginning of 2025, he is still an effective president of Ukraine with actual power to make decisions and to lead the country.

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