Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?
Plus
35
Ṁ40752026
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A leaked audio has surfaced where AWS's CEO Matt Garman claims that "most developers might not be coding" in the next 24 months: https://www.businessinsider.com/aws-ceo-developers-stop-coding-ai-takes-over-2024-8
This market seeks to track his prediction as regards AWS itself.
This market will resolve YES if a credible source states that 50% or more of the developers working for AWS as of early September 2024 are laid off or moved to non-software engineering positions such as product management within the next two years.
Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
58% chance
Will AWS have a major outage in 2024?
42% chance
Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs by 2025?
52% chance
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?
29% chance
Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?
65% chance
By 2030, will over 50% of software development projects be primarily created by AI, with minimal human coding?
33% chance
Will Amazon spin off AWS by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will AWS have an operating margin >= 30% for 2028?
41% chance
Will the number of human engineers in front end dev jobs be halved by 2030?
46% chance
Will there in any year 2024-2030 be a decline in the number of Developers worldwide compared to last year?
61% chance