Will the next pandemic be overall worse than covid-19 in absolute, global terms?
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6
Ṁ1612025
28%
chance
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Resolves as of my judgement about both 1) that an ongoing or recent event is or has been a pandemic and 2) that it has been worse than covid-19 in the most relevant macro aspect(s) (could be sthg from global overmortality, well being, economic loss, societal disruption, collective trauma or the like but if something else seems relevant, I wont restrict it to these). I will be open to arguments and evidence.
If this question resolves, I expect this question to cause me an exhausting reflection process on what counts as good or bad (once again). Or not if things are really bad.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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