Will the next pandemic be overall worse than covid-19 in absolute, global terms?
Basic
6
Ṁ1612025
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as of my judgement about both 1) that an ongoing or recent event is or has been a pandemic and 2) that it has been worse than covid-19 in the most relevant macro aspect(s) (could be sthg from global overmortality, well being, economic loss, societal disruption, collective trauma or the like but if something else seems relevant, I wont restrict it to these). I will be open to arguments and evidence.
If this question resolves, I expect this question to cause me an exhausting reflection process on what counts as good or bad (once again). Or not if things are really bad.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030
32% chance
In what year will the next pandemic occur that is as bad or worse than COVID?
2048
Will there be a pandemic which most people agree is worse than COVID by the year 2050?
54% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
50% chance
Will the next pandemic be worse than COVID?
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
40% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (Wordwide)
55% chance
Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
35% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
59% chance
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?
51% chance