Will a fully autonomous AI-powered US military drone kill a human being without express human direction before 2025?
Plus
19
Ṁ660Jan 1
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question would resolve to "yes" only if an autonomous drone is confirmed to have killed a human being without that specific action or strike being authorized or directed by a human being. A human death resulting from general instructions such as "kill any combatant in x radius with y characteristics" would result in a "yes".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2026?
3% chance
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will anyone in the United States be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?
7% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
9% chance
Will an AI system be judged to have killed a human on its own initiative and for no other purpose by 2030?
26% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence pilot an aircraft with human passengers completely autonomously before 2030?
67% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2025?
1% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
28% chance
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
32% chance