Will right-wing parties take more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 European Parliament elections?
6
130Ṁ238Jan 1
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
1% chance
Will European voters keep turning rightward during 2024?
89% chance
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 30% or higher in 2025?
52% chance
How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
63% chance
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
29% chance
Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
34% chance
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
29% chance