Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
8
150Ṁ2872030
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Sam Altman is criminally charged with a felony crime in the US before 2030. Otherwise NO.
See also: https://manifold.markets/post/felony-charges-in-crypto
Details:
This question will use the earliest time the charges are officially announced or reported by reliable media publications.
Timezone is Eastern time
Grand jury indictment counts. Charges filed as part of a plea bargain count. Other ways charges are brought count too.
Both state and federal charges count for this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027?
8% chance
[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?
3% chance
Will Marc Andreessen be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
8% chance
Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?
Will Larry Ellison be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
5% chance
Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance
Will Sam Aarons (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
14% chance
Will Sam Altman have kids by 2033?
86% chance
Will Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
69% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance