Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2030? *
Basic
7
Ṁ199
2031
86%
chance

If it's unambigious, resolves to that. If ambiguous, I'll ask people who are/were active on lesswrong which way they think it should resolve and resolve based on that.

This requires not just a few people posting every so often, or a lot of spam - it requires some sense of community and frequent high quality discussion, somewhat similar to what exists today.

I think the very vague criteria for this are fine, and anything more specific would probably just diverge from the spirit, but i'm curious if anyone has the other opinion.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules