Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
Basic
1
Ṁ102029
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is broadly meant to encompass failure of the company:
Bankruptcy
Technically getting acquired by another one of Musk's companies to save face / retain talent for his other companies
Dramatically pivoting to no longer doing fundamental AI research.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
26% chance
Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?
17% chance
Will xAI overtake OpenAI as the leader in AI research by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
28% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
34% chance
Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?
44% chance
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
63% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
18% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
19% chance