In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
6
1kแน6002026
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if any of the 435 members of the United States House of Representatives or any of the 100 members the United States Senate changes their official party affiliation during 2025 in the time zone containing the most of their constituents.
This question closes at 00:01 on 1 January 2026 Hawaii-Aleutian Time (UTC-10). If YES criteria have not been met, then this market should resolve NO sometime later on 1 January 2026.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.
68% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
84% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
83% chance
Will the party that controls of the House of Representatives change between February 2025 and October 2026?
5% chance
Will a member of United States House of Representatives die in 2025?
68% chance
Yang's 2025 predictions: Will at least one member of Congress or the Senate declare him or herself to be an Independent?
53% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
77% chance
Will another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
55% chance
Will a member of United States senate die in 2025?
55% chance
Will the Democrats control the House at any time before August 2025?
4% chance