![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fjrmygrdn%2Fg9b3zghwsy.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?
Basic
18
แน1.1k2029
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Representing the Reform Party, Nigel Farage was elected Member of Parliament for Clacton on 4 July 2024. Will he still be a sitting Reform Party MP at the time of the next general election?
This would be resolved as NO if, by the time of the next general election:
For any reason Nigel Farage stands down as MP or another person is elected in a by-election
Nigel Farage leaves the Reform Party
The Reform Party changes its name, breaks up or otherwise ceases to exist.
NB. As of 4 July 2024 Nigel Farage was leader of the Reform Party and one of its controlling shareholders.
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
17% chance
Will Nigel Farage be made a life peer?
9% chance
Will Boris Johnson stand as an MP again?
20% chance
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
83% chance
Will Modi have a full term as Prime Minister?
71% chance
Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
35% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2026?
15% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2031?
16% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2036?
16% chance
Will Gary Neville stand for any publicly elected position before 2030?
63% chance