In Hollywood, the math goes that a movie needs to make twice its budget to not be considered a flop (Hollywood math is wild, but this is to cover marketing, distribution and other “final mile” costs).

The most recent budget report for Mickey 17 is $150million (per Wikipedia). Accordingly, it’d have to make at least $300M worldwide to be considered profitable.

Will Mickey 17 (2025) make less than $300M in its initial theatrical run? Is Bong Joon-ho’s follow up to Parasite going to flop?

Note: If there is an updated budget for the film (higher or lower), this market will continue with double the upper bound of that new range.

See other flop markets:

• /mattyb/is-wicked-going-to-be-a-flop

• /mattyb/is-red-one-2024-going-to-be-a-flop

• /mattyb/is-gladiator-2-going-to-be-a-flop