Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?
Basic
3
Ṁ792030
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the stated goal of the Artemis program, per the NASA website (at time of posting).
Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?
Resolves YES once both milestones have been achieved. Resolves NO if any other country beats the USA to either of these milestones. Resolves NO if Artemis ends, or is canceled (evidenced by Artemis’ Wikipedia not having “present” listed as the Duration’s end).
“Person of color”, if controversial, will use NASA’s marketing materials (and any statements by the astronauts themselves) as Resolution criteria.
Market will extend, if needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?
61% chance
Who will be the first woman to set foot on the Moon?
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
46% chance
Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
69% chance
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2025?
1% chance
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
52% chance
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?
49% chance
Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?
29% chance
Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?
31% chance