[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
Basic
9
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2026
21%
chance

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves a Yes if after March 22, 2024, and before January 1, 2026, credible sources report that a terrorist attack using an aerial drone led to at least one injury or death in the United States.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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