[Metaculus] Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant ...sly before the year 2100?
Basic
7
Ṁ4462100
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve positively if, at any point between January 1, 2020 to January 1 2100, Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have a woman as their head monarch (or "Queen") at the same time.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any European country have changed its capital before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the Netherlands still be a monarchy in 2050?
47% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?
52% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2070?
61% chance
[Metaculus] Will Norway announce a referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in Sept. 2025?
21% chance
Will Victoria be the last monarch of Sweden?
30% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?
63% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2080?
63% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2060?
61% chance
Will Prince William become king by 2030?
67% chance