Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?
Plus
14
Ṁ5062028
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The following will resolve NO: The United States continues to stand as a full NATO member continuously, through December 31, 2028. Full NATO member is defined as continuing to assent to all NATO articles, and not going into “stand-by” or any other reduction in membership status.
All other scenarios, including the US leaving NATO and returning, or the disbandment of NATO altogether, resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US quit NATO by 2028?
Will any country withdraw from NATO by the start of 2032?
23% chance
Will any country threaten withdrawal from the UN by 2028?
54% chance
Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?
34% chance
Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?
Donald Trump attempts to withdraw from NATO
Will the United States be directly involved in a war by the end of 2028?
55% chance
Will Trump withdraw from NATO in 2025?
13% chance
Will the US withdraw from the 1967 Protocol on the Status of Refugees by 2028?
51% chance
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
45% chance