Will OpenAI refer to o3 as AGI?
Basic
10
Ṁ2302025
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some are saying “it’s over.”
Will OpenAI or Sam Altman claim that AGI has been achieved, in reference specifically to their o3 model?
Some will say “it’s not quite AGI” or “AGI is hard to define.” This market is only to determine whether the company or ceo will overtly make the claim, specifically about o3.
Resolves ‘yes’ if any official representative says that o3 is AGI, or that it in any way represents achieving AGI as a company. Resolves ‘no’ if the question is punted, if Altman specifically denies that it’s AGI, or another future or past model eventually is named as the first AGI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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