Will Manifold donate at least $50 to a fraudulent charity before 2030?
7
150Ṁ1592030
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030, there is evidence that Manifold for Charity has donated (according to itself) to a charity that either is fake or has committed some kind of charity fraud. The amount of money donated by Manifold must be >= $50.
Resolves NO otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold have raised $500K USD or more for charity by EOY 2026?
50% chance
Will Manifold have raised $1M USD or more for charity by EOY 2026?
37% chance
Will Manifold cease allowing mana donations to charity for at least 1 month before 2028?
99% chance
If Manifold removes the option to send mana to charity or redeem it for anything else of value, will Manifold be valued at >=$33 million USD before the end of 2024?
22% chance
If Manifold continues to allow mana to be sent to charity or redeemed for other objects of value, will Manifold be valued at >=$33 million USD before the end of 2024?
32% chance