Magnificent 7 below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
3
1kṀ1502026
48%
chance
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Resolution:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the combined cap weight of the Magnificent Seven stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google [Alphabet Class A and C], Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia) in the S&P 500 index, calculated using the official S&P 500 cap weighting formula, falls below 30% on any trading day (based on market close prices) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source will be daily closing prices applied to the S&P 500 cap weighting formula.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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