Will, as Trump acts more and more outrageously, they "use the 25th to replace him with Vance" who will be "even worse"?
10
100Ṁ3342029
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
up to 50% for using the 25th, up to 50% for Vance being even worse
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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