Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

Donald Trump's return on Twitter: Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2023?

Will Bitcoin reach $76543.21 before the end of 2024?

Will Bitcoin still be above $69K on both 6/9 AND 9/6? (June 9th and Sept 6th)

Will Threads have more daily active users than Twitter by the end of 2024?

Will 2024 see a major, viral, malicious AI-generated disinformation case, either in the US or globally?

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

The AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026