Will my friend join Manifold before the end of 2024 and if he does, will he like it?
Basic
3
Ṁ65Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
27%
Yes, he will join, and yes, he will like it.
34%
Yes, he will join, but no, he won’t like it.
39%
No, he won’t join.
I have a smart friend who is gifted in mathematics and works for a major tech company. We get dinner every few weeks and I must have been chatty about Manifold last time we met up because last night he asked whether I was still using it. I suspect he might join, but I really don’t know. What do you think, Manifoldidians? Will my chum join Manifold before the end of 2024? Will he like it?
I will not be betting in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?
52% chance
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
51% chance
Will Eigenrobot join Manifold before 2025?
15% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
38% chance
Will SBF join Manifold by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will I become a partner on Manifold by the end of the year?
13% chance
Will I be accepted as a Manifold partner by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will firstuserhere return to using Manifold before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2024?
2% chance