
By 2028 will a language model beat the Ender Dragon?
6
130Ṁ1052028
58%
chance
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[SPRING](https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.15486) uses GPT-4 to play a simple Minecraft-like game. By 2028 will an LLM in this setup or a similar setup beat the Ender Dragon in Minecraft?
(Note that I'm not going to count something like [Voyager](https://voyager.minedojo.org/), because it seems to me like they're making the problem too easy. I'll make a separate market for that)
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