Will Sam Altman steal OpenAI's AGI?
Basic
7
Ṁ589Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Many rumors circulating on the Internet posit that Sam Altman was fired over the board/Ilya's AI-safety concerns surrounding a "major discovery" at the company, which is speculated to be AGI.
Resolves YES if a representative of OpenAI or someone on the C-suite or board of OpenAI announces that they have reason to believe that Sam Altman is using a technology developed by OpenAI, described as either "AGI" or a "much more powerful ChatGPT/GPT-4," without permission.
Otherwise, resolves NO at closing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?
99% chance
Will the OpenAI board fire Sam Altman again in 2024?
1% chance
Will Sam Altman be a co-founder of a serious OpenAI competitor by EOY 2024?
1% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
50% chance
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
60% chance
Will Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
51% chance
Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?
84% chance
Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?
23% chance
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
55% chance
Will Sam Altman found an OpenAI competitor by the end of 2024?
2% chance