Before what year will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number?
Basic
6
Ṁ2982100
50%
2040
27%
2050
9%
2075
8%
2100
7%
Never
Resolution Criteria:
A report published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal demonstrating only a quantum computer was used to obtain the factorization answers for RSA-2048
challenge number.
The RSA-2048 challenge number can be found on Wikipedia:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/RSA_numbers
The correct answer will resolve to the earliest date. For example if a quantum computer meeting those requirements is built in 2035 then the correct answer is 2040.
Never means that a quantum computer meeting those requirements is impossible to build. If the date is January 1st, 2100 and a quantum computer meeting those requirements is not built then the question will resolve to Never.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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