Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2040?
Basic
4
Ṁ89
2040
42%
chance

Resolution Criteria:
This question resolves to "Yes" if, before January 1st, 2040, a formal, publicly released statement—either in a peer-reviewed scientific journal or from a reputable academic or research institution—announces that a human individual's mind (including their memories, personality, consciousness, and sense of self) has been transferred to and demonstrated to operate within a non-biological computer. All of the following criteria must be met:

  1. Formal Documentation:

    • The claim must be published in a peer-reviewed journal or as an official institutional report.

  2. Expert Verification:

    • At least 10 signatories must endorse the claim, each holding a PhD or equivalent in a relevant field (e.g., neuroscience, cognitive science, AI, philosophy of mind).

    • Each signatory must have a faculty or research position at an accredited university, recognized research institution, or reputable company.

    • Each signatory must have a track record of peer-reviewed research.

  3. Evidence of Mind Uploading:

    • The document must clearly state that a human individual’s memories, cognitive functions, personality traits, and subjective sense of identity have been replicated and are demonstrably operating within a non-biological computational medium.

    • The evidence should include data supporting continuity of personal identity (e.g., verified recognition of personal memories known only to that individual, consistent personality profiles, or other established psychological measures).

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Ṁ1,000
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