Will the makeup of the US Supreme Court change before January 20th, 2025 at 12pm ET?
Plus
7
Ṁ1821Jan 22
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if any of the current nine justices leaves office in any way (resigns, dies, impeached, etc.) during the specified time period, or if a tenth justice joins them. A tenth slot on the court opening up would not by itself be sufficient to resolve this market, nor would a resignation conditional on the confirmation of a successor, if no such judge were actually appointed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any US Supreme Court justice retire before the 2024 elections?
5% chance
Will any US Supreme Court justice retire before the 2025 presidential inauguration?
6% chance
Will a United States Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be impeached and removed before Jan. 20th 2025?
19% chance
Will Sonia Sotomayor retire from the Supreme Court before January 2025?
17% chance
Will any U.S. Supreme Court justice resign or retire in 2024?
8% chance
When will the U.S. Supreme Court stop having a conservative majority?
Will any members of the current members of the US Supreme Court retire or die by 2024?
18% chance
[ACX 2024] In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?
6% chance
Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040?
31% chance
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?
11% chance