![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FStephenMWalkerII%2F9c106d0c3467.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will credible, corroborated GPT4o model details leak before 2025?
Mini
5
Ṁ145Dec 31
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Corroborated = Leak must be 2 or more sources.
Credible = Source must be credible within the real of ML/AI in the same way that the below referenced leakers are.
Details = Equal or greater detail to GPT4 leak (model architecture, size, etc) ala Geohotz, SemiAnalysis, and others.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2024?
4% chance
What will be true about GPT-4.5?
Will GPT-5 be announced in 2024?
46% chance
Who will release a GPT-4o comparable model in 2024?
Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?
65% chance
Will we have an open-source model better than GPT-4-Turbo before 2025?
69% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
75% chance
Will an open model with comparable results to GPT-4 on MMLU be released by the end of July 2024?
73% chance