In case there is no information for a long period of time, will close in the Summer of 2025. Answers with no new information will be N/A’ed in order to not tie up mana indefinitely.
Update 2024-16-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution will be based on official sources
Multiple different explanations/sources can be considered true simultaneously
Resolution will wait for information to be properly verified and sorted through
1,000
3.00Do the counting props count each other? Can I resist asking “will three or more statements that don’t count themselves resolve yes?” This is heady stuff.
https://nypost.com/2024/12/16/us-news/nypd-recovers-massive-drone-found-abandoned-in-brooklyn/
One for the "startup" camp, albeit grounded.
@lxgr A Ga-68 pin source was lost in shipment on December 2nd in New Jersey: https://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/event-status/event/2024/20241213en.html
There are possible parallels to a case in 2023 in Australia, where a Caesium-137 source was lost and recovered via vehicle-mounted detection equipment: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_Australian_radioactive_capsule_incident
@4fa honestly no clue because there could be some drones that use cellular networks and some that don't...
@benshindel That's a problem for ~all props here: Since the majority of drones (or "drones") seen/reported by people are probably not the drones they're looking for, it's unclear if these will be included for prop resolution or not.
In other words, do the props need to be true for at least one, the majority, all, or a specific subset of all drones?
The FBI is "investigating" it.
@10thOfficial is it worth making a distinction between the drones the FBI in Newark started investigating in Nov 20, leading them to ask for tips, and the explainable drone sightings amidst the 4,900 tips they discarded?
In other words, drones, but not the drones we’re looking for?
@MalachiteEagle it’s like all the stupidest ppl in the country are realizing that the sky exists for the first time in their life
@benshindel I remember seeing dozens of tiktoks at one point of ppl who claimed that the moon didn’t use to be visible during the day
Hey @10thOfficial how do you plan on resolving in the inevitable situation where the "drones" as far as people are talking about them are from multiple sources (say, for example, there were initially some military drones being tested and then people went crazy and mostly saw airplanes and satellites, and then hobbyists started flying their own drones to look for other drones... etc)?
@benshindel would it resolve YES for all situations that seem true, or just for those that account for the original source of drones? or the majority? or just ad hoc as you see fit?
@benshindel When I see something from official sources I will resolve it to the best of my ability. It can be one or more things. The dust needs to settle on this one to make proper decisions, there is a lot to sort through.
This lends a lot of credence to the idea that (at least a few of) the drones were/are Navy or other military drones that were being tested for radioisotope detection / logistics capabilities / __insert_reason_here___:
It seems likely that there is some chain of command issues where the military does not want to publicly announce the purpose of the testing, incorrectly assumed that people wouldn't notice/care, and now is trying to damage control by saying stuff like "well we know that it's not an enemy" without giving away details about whatever they were testing. Meanwhile politicians are not permitted to release that kind of information publicly but Trump kind of does what he wants and has been briefed on it and then goes out and says something like "well they know what they are but they're not telling you".
@nathanwei honestly, from what I’ve seen so far, it looks like a small number of random drones and a whole lot of hysteria 🤣
@nathanwei I think this should resolve as hysteria. Every photo you see if of an airplane or helicopter. The latest photos online aren’t even from New Jersey. Maybe there is a kernel of truth there, but it’s floating in a bathtub worth of hysteria.
