Which celebrities will come out as transgender in 2024? ๐Ÿฅš๐Ÿฃ๐Ÿฅš๐Ÿฅš๐Ÿฃ๐Ÿฅš
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Jan 1
7%
HBomberguy
7%
Fousey
7%
Zach "Sneaky" Scuderi
6%
Eddie Redmayne
5%
Porter Robinson
4%
Tom Cruise
2%
Jennifer Lawrence
2%
Michelle Obama
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Taylor Swift
1.9%
Ron DeSanctimonious
1.7%
Tucker Carlson
1.3%
Bill Gates
1.3%
Elon Musk
1.2%
Donald Trump
1.2%
Joe Biden
1.2%
Mark Zuckerberg
1.1%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1.1%
Vladimir Putin

Individuals who sincerely identify themselves as transgender for the first time during 2024 will resolve to YES. Identifying as nonbinary will also count as YES, assuming this comes with different pronouns, hormone replacement, name change, or significant change in clothing or makeup style.

"None listed here" will resolve to YES if none of the other legitimate choices resolve to YES. Names added retroactively, after the person already came out, will be ignored for determining this.

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@AB72ce what makes someone a "celebrity" (and thus eligible for being an answer in this market)?

This should remain open. Finnester doesn't identify as trans still

@RanaG it's very explicit in his video. He answers the question is he trans with no.

@RanaG it wasn't an explicit no, it was an "I'm on HRT and gender fluid but I don't like labels" which I think qualifies as a sub category of trans, but we could hold an opinion poll once they're affordable again to decide it if you want

Gender fluid is very close to cross dressing which doesn't constitute a change to the status quo.

Being transgender is defined as transitioning to and identifying as the opposite sex. Finn had never and still doesn't identify as a woman.

The question includes nonbinary to qualify a YES but Finn neither describes himself as full time nonbinary nor does he explicitly reject identifying as a man.

@RanaG to me trans is a blanket term for any gender identity other than cis, and gender fluid means frequently changing gender identity, whereas cross-dressing is simply the outfit change with zero identity change

@TheAllMemeingEye that's just plain wrong

@RanaG this reminds me of the existential comic on prescriptive vs descriptive linguists

https://existentialcomics.com/comic/268

@RanaG My interpretation is that he identifies as non-binary enough to qualify for this market (especially combined with the HRT and being open to any pronoun), even if he rejects the "trans" label itself.

bought แน€40 YES

@TheAllMemeingEye he didbt say he's trans

@RanaG gender fluid on hrt counts doesn't it? Like there's no way that's cis

see also

Note that "Michelle Obama is secretly a trans woman" is an established conspiracy theory

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