![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FAVS%2Fv8bwwtwh4l.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
Basic
11
Ṁ6562050
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based on the outcome of the corresponding Metaculus market.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
39% chance
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
32% chance
Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
25% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
46% chance
Will China fully annex Taiwan before 2053?
26% chance
Will China still be controlled by the CCP in 2050?
69% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
56% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
42% chance